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A Long Term View on the Short Term Co-movement of Output and Prices in a Small Open Economy

Grytten, Ola Honningdal; Hunnes, Arngrim
Journal article, Peer reviewed
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http://hdl.handle.net/11250/274896
Utgivelsesdato
2012-02
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  • Articles (SAM) [119]
Originalversjon
International Journal of Economics and Finance 2012, 4(2):3-15   10.5539/ijef.v4n2p3
Sammendrag
One assumption behind inflation targeting as objective for monetary policy is that inflation rates in the short run to

some extent reflect output cycles. The present paper investigates the historical co-movements of output and prices

for a small open raw material based economy, in this case Norway 1830 – 2006. Looking at contemporaneous

movements we find more often negative correlations between the two variables than positive. The correlations do

not give any evidence of causality. However, they may indicate that supply side shocks, often caused by the foreign

sector, were more important for historical output cycles in Norway than assumed hitherto
Beskrivelse
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Utgiver
Canadian Center of Science and Education
Tidsskrift
International Journal of Economics and Finance

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