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dc.contributor.authorTjentland, Eirik
dc.contributor.authorHalvorsen, Sindre Anders
dc.date.accessioned2010-09-13T09:39:32Z
dc.date.available2010-09-13T09:39:32Z
dc.date.issued2010
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11250/168529
dc.description.abstractThis thesis aims to explore two main issues. First we study crude oil prices in view of weak-form efficiency. Thereupon we look into different hedging strategies that could be used to stabilize income in a market with high volatility. The data used are crude oil prices of West Texas Intermediate between 1987 and 2010. We conclude that the spot crude price and the 3 month future price for the same oil type are weak-form efficient. The two prices tend towards a long-run equilibrium and differences in prices are quickly adjusted. OPEC’s role in the market is discussed as a weakness to price efficiency. Based on efficient prices, we find that the minimum variance hedging method gives the lowest risk, but a naive hedge ratio is easiest to implement in a business strategy for a risk averse management. On the other hand, a risk neutral oil company would get a higher added return by merely buy and sell in the spot market. By introducing a multiple risks hedging model consisting of price risk and exchange rate risk, we suggest that a Norwegian company could reduce its total risk of the portfolio by increasing its exposure in the currency market.en
dc.language.isoengen
dc.subjectfinancial economicsen
dc.subjectenergy, natural resources and the environment
dc.titleRisk management in the crude oil market : market efficiency and hedging strategiesen
dc.typeMaster thesisen
dc.subject.nsiVDP::Samfunnsvitenskap: 200::Økonomi: 210::Samfunnsøkonomi: 212en
dc.subject.nsi


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