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Strategic investment in the supply chain for russian gas : a Shapley value analysis

Logacheva, Marina
Master thesis
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URI
http://hdl.handle.net/11250/168787
Date
2010
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  • Master Thesis [4207]
Abstract
In this thesis I use cooperative game theory – the Shapley value – to analyze the power

structure in the supply chain for Russian gas and, furthermore, to evaluate the strategic

impact of different investment options for creating new capacities. My results show that the

possibilities to increase capacities along the existing tracks in Ukraine and Belarus, in order

to bypass one of the transit countries, do not change the balance of power dramatically,

whereas a direct, though very costly, link through the Baltic Sea, the Nord Stream pipeline,

significantly strengthens Russia’s strategic position. I also look into various factors on

demand and supply side and investigate whether the construction of the Nord Stream

pipeline may be superfluous.

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