Underpricing and Long-Term Performance of Private Equity-Backed IPOs in the U.S. : An empirical study of the underpricing and long-term performance of private equity- and venture capital-backed IPOs in the U.S. stock market from 2000-2022
Abstract
This thesis aims to investigate the underpricing and long-term performance of private
equity-backed initial public offerings (IPOs) relative to non-sponsored IPOs. We use a
sample of 2.509 IPOs on the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq over a time period
from January 2000 to December 2022.
In our study, we examine the underpricing across time periods, sizes, industries, and
exchanges for the different sponsor types. Furthermore, we look at factors that may
explain underpricing using a cross-sectional regression model. The empirical analysis finds
no support for the claim that private equity (PE)- and venture capital (VC)-backed IPOs
exhibit less underpricing than their non-sponsored counterparts, on average. Our analysis
only revealed one statistically significant finding: larger market capitalizations appear to
be associated with increased underpricing. We hypothesize that the tendency for more
aggressive underpricing in larger IPOs may be a strategy utilized to offset the higher costs
associated with information acquisitions, which are inherently greater in larger offerings.
Furthermore, we investigate the long-term performance using cumulative abnormal returns
(CAR), buy-and-hold returns (BHR), and a cross-sectional regression model. Benchmarked
against the Nasdaq and NYSE composites, we find some statistical evidence supporting
our hypothesis that private equity-backed IPOs outperform non-sponsored IPOs. The
regressions indicate that PE-backed IPOs demonstrate abnormal positive returns on a sixmonth
basis, VC-backed IPOs at the three- and five-year marks, while non-sponsored ones
exhibit significant underperformance on a three- and five-year basis. Moreover, we find
that a listing in a hot market has a statistically negative effect on long-term performance,
across all time horizons and with all types of sponsorships. Our findings indicate a higher
proportion of PE-backed IPOs during hot market periods, and that the proportion of hot
market IPOs increases with market capitalization. These larger PE-backed IPOs typically
perform worse in the long term, suggesting that PE-firms may be exploiting hot markets,
particularly during full exits. This aligns with the windows-of-opportunity theory.