• norsk
    • English
  • English 
    • norsk
    • English
  • Login
View Item 
  •   Home
  • Norges Handelshøyskole
  • Department of Business and Management Science
  • Discussion papers (FOR)
  • View Item
  •   Home
  • Norges Handelshøyskole
  • Department of Business and Management Science
  • Discussion papers (FOR)
  • View Item
JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

Using option pricing theory to infer about equity premiums

Aase, Knut K.
Working paper
Thumbnail
View/Open
aase knut k 1105.pdf (249.7Kb)
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/11250/163597
Date
2005-11
Metadata
Show full item record
Collections
  • Discussion papers (FOR) [509]
Abstract
In this paper we make use of option pricing theory to infer about historical equity premiums. This we do by comparing the prices of an American perpetual put option computed using two different models: The first is the standard one with continuous, zero expectation, Gaussian noise, the second is a strikingly similar model, except that the zero expectation noise is of Poissonian type. The interesting fact that makes this comparison worthwhile, is that the probability distribution under the risk adjusted measure turns out to depend on the equity premium in the Poisson model, while this is not so for the standard, Brownian motion version. This difference is utilized to find the intertemporal, equilibrium equity premium. We apply this technique to the US equity data of the last century and find that, if the risk free short rate was around one per cent, this corresponds to a risk premium on equity about two and a half per cent. On the other hand, if the risk free rate was about four per cent, we find that this corresponds to an equity premium of around four and a half per cent. The advantage with our approach is that we only need equity data and option pricing theory, no consumption data was necessary to arrive at these conclusions. We round off the paper by investigating if the procedure also works for incomplete models.
Publisher
Norwegian School of Economics and Business Administration. Department of Finance and Management Science
Series
Discussion paper
2005:11

Contact Us | Send Feedback

Privacy policy
DSpace software copyright © 2002-2019  DuraSpace

Service from  Unit
 

 

Browse

ArchiveCommunities & CollectionsBy Issue DateAuthorsTitlesSubjectsDocument TypesJournalsThis CollectionBy Issue DateAuthorsTitlesSubjectsDocument TypesJournals

My Account

Login

Statistics

View Usage Statistics

Contact Us | Send Feedback

Privacy policy
DSpace software copyright © 2002-2019  DuraSpace

Service from  Unit