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A partner in crime : assortative matching and bias in the crime market

Gavrilova, Evelina
Working paper
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URI
http://hdl.handle.net/11250/217635
Date
2014-06
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  • Discussion papers (FOR) [514]
Abstract
I identify a discriminatory bias in partnership formation within the property crime mar-

ket in the United States. Theoretically, the prisoner's dilemma creates an incentive for a

criminal to form a partnership with a counterpart with the same probability of success, re-

sulting in an equilibrium pattern of positive assortative matching. Using individual matched

report-arrest data from the National Incident Based Reporting System and a novel empiri-

cal strategy, I pinpoint matches where the underlying probability of success of two partners

differ. This difference in probability is correlated with observable characteristics, which

could be evidence for discrimination and search frictions. I find patterns consistent with

discrimination in male-female partnerships and patterns consistent with search frictions in

black-white matches. In particular, females in a male-female partnership are more likely to

evade law-enforcement than males, even though on average males are more successful as a

group. This results is robust to controlling for the criminal earnings, individual criminal

offenses and market characteristics. Furthermore, these patterns are found also in criminal

groups of a size bigger than 2. The result could be either due to pre-crime marital matching

or discrimination.
Publisher
FOR
Series
Discussion papers;25/14

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