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Managing volatility: an empirical analysis of the time-series relation between risk and return Norwegian evidence

Johansen, Thomas André; Eckhoff, Lars Kristian
Master thesis
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URI
http://hdl.handle.net/11250/2432208
Date
2016
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  • Master Thesis [3258]
Abstract
In this paper, we examine the time-series relation between risk and return.

We replicate the methodology of Moreira and Muir (2016a) and construct

volatility managed portfolios that decrease the risk exposure when volatility is

high, and vice versa. We implement the strategy on well-known risk factors in

Norway and the UK, in addition to industry portfolios in Norway and in the

U.S. The strategy in general produces large alphas and increased Sharpe ratios

and the results are robust when controlling for exposure to other risk factors.

We further show that using forecasted variance from sophisticated forecasting

models rather than realized variance can improve the results of the volatility

managed portfolios.

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