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Incarceration, Recidivism, and Employment

Bhuller, Manudeep; Mogstad, Magne; Dahl, Gordon Boyack; Løken, Katrine Vellesen
Journal article, Peer reviewed
Accepted version
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URI
http://hdl.handle.net/11250/2620071
Date
2020
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  • Articles (SAM) [118]
  • Publikasjoner fra CRIStin (NHH) [243]
Original version
10.1086/705330
Abstract
Using a random judge design and panel data from Norway, we estimate that

imprisonment discourages further criminal behavior, with re-offense probabilities falling by

29 percentage points and criminal charges dropping by 11 over a five-year period. OLS

mistakenly reaches the opposite conclusion. The decline is driven by individuals not working

prior to incarceration; these individuals increase participation in employment programs and

raise their future employment and earnings. Previously employed individuals experience

lasting negative employment effects. These findings demonstrate that time spent in prison

with a focus on rehabilitation can be preventive for a large segment of the criminal population
Journal
Journal of Political Economy

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