Price transmission in cross boundary value chains

Abstract

The extent to which demand and supply shocks are transmitted in the value chain is an important topic. As many value chains cross international borders exchange rate pass through is an important element in this context. In this paper a multivariate system that allow us to test different hypothesis with respect to the value chain is specified. This include tests of whether there is a link between the different stages in the value chain, whether the exchange rate pass through is complete and whether price signals are fully transmitted. Different exogeneity assumptions are testable hypothesis, and one can avoid the simultaneity problem associated with the common single equation specifications. Moreover, one can also test whether the exchange rate is determined outside the system, as well as testing for price leadership. An application is provided for the value chain for cod between Norway and Portugal.